HD dvd will win, both will fail though, dvd will stay, we ha seen this happen in the past, the laserdisk
the laserdisk, same size as records of the time, the laserdisk players were the same size of the vcr's at the time, yes they were big, laserdisc even provided a better picture, surly it would succede, not too differnet from anything at the time right? No, and look what emerged as succesor, ahh yes, VHS
Here are some pics to prove my claim
here is a old vcr, with a vhs on top
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi.../bb/Vr2020.jpg
and here is a laserdisk sleeve (the bigger white square thing) next to a vhs
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...px-CRVDisc.jpg
this is just to show that laserdisk didnt fail because of its size, but because the old formats were better, and this is almost exactly to how it is now between dvd, and the hd dvd and blu ray